Why The Jimmie Johnson Haters Need to Take A Step Back and See The Stats

by on November 27, 2010

in nascar, sports

Jimmie Johnson Five-Peat Championship

This article is an opinion on the performance of NASCAR’s Jimmie Johnson and how consistently he has performed since his rookie year, no matter what points system or car type he’s been in.  After I’m done, you just might understand why I’ve started see Johnson’s performance  for what it is .

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I’ve always been a bit confused about a vocal part of the NASCAR fan base who have such a rage-on for Jimmie Johnson.

It’s amazing how people can dig up the hate on the guy.  An acquaintance of mine had spouted his distaste for Jimmie after he won his fifth straight championship.  According to his opinion, my peer declared that NASCAR made sure their golden boy won his fifth title and went on to declare that it was a crock of refuse.  (But with the grittier word in place of refuse.)

NASCAR’s Golden Boy

Dale Earnhardt Jr and Taylor Swift at 2008 Nashville Sound and Speed

But if you really have to know, NASCAR’s golden boy is Dale Earnhardt Jr., who accounts for over 50% of all merchandise sales of diecast, clothing & accessories of the sport.  And as his performance has been declining, so too have been the sales, and NASCAR feels that pinch, whether you realize it or not.

If NASCAR were to actually back their “golden boy,” they’d do everything they could to get Dale Eanrhardt Jr. in the winner’s circle and out of his business suit where Dale Jr owns a lot of companies like television production companies, race tracks, race teams, real estate offices, bars and what not.  They wouldn’t be applying so much parity to the sport to spread the wealth of winning if they had a “golden boy.”

Is NASCAR Really No Fun to Watch?

Four Wide NASCAR Cup Series racing at 200 mph

Another friend I was debating with said that NASCAR was no longer fun to watch because of Johnson.  Sure…  it can feel rather predictable when a superior team dominates its niche.  At least in NASCAR.  I too find myself sighing when Jimmie takes the lead early and doesn’t let go.  When that happens, I just try to focus on where my guy is and pull for him to inch up there just one more spot as the race wears on.

So if you’re bored,  change your focus so it’s fun again.  There’s a reason you tuned into NASCAR in the first place and you need to tap into that reason one more time when Jimmie is leading the race.  Of course that in and of itself can be a challenge when all ESPN does is show the lead car all by himself over and over while there’s superior racing going on behind him.  It’s moments like this that I get a sudden sense of clarity as to why people sometimes call out the boredom!

Do You Think Conservative Driving Gets Into The Chase?

Jimmie Johnson leading team mate Jeff Gordon in NASCAR Cup Series racingBecause Johnson achieved a record fifth title, another acquaintance was trying to point out that all anyone had to do to get into the Chase for the Cup was run conservatively.  Its during the chase that the real racing begins, or so he feels.

Neither angle is accurate.  The top performing teams were the one’s that got into the Chase, plain and simple.

Why Jimmie Johnson Would have Contended For the Championship, Regardless?

Jimmie Johnson NASCAR Cup Series driver - head shotSome say Jimmie would not have won the championships under the old rules but there’s two things working against that misnomer.  The obvious is that the old rules are gone and moot.  But for argument’s sake, if the old rules were in-place, I think he still would have had a run at the championship, regardless.  Oh wait, drop that “argument’s sake!”  He already did.

Since his rookie year Jimmie has been a contender.  Under different points system rules he’s been in the top-5 in points at year’s end his entire NASCAR Cup Series career.  In 2009 Johnson had the most wins.  In 2008 he was 2nd in most wins, most top-5′s and top-10′s.  In 2007 he had the most wins and the 2nd most top-5′s and 10′s.  In 2006 he tied for the most wins and had the most top-10′s.

Johnson just took his fifth consecutive championship and he did so despite NASCAR making some serious, hard-core rule changes during those five titles.  He’s also been in the top-5 in points at the end of each year of his career.

He and his team have manged to circumvent

  • The old old points system,
  • The switch to the COT,
  • The swap-out from the wing to the spoiler.

In my book, this has to account for something.  A testament to the man and his team’s versatility.  In fact I’m going to back-pedal a little and say that if you want to see the points system reward conservative, or consistent driving, don’t forget that the old system allowed Matt Kenseth to win the title with only 1 win.  In fact it was that win that seemed to have sparked the Chase and its new rules.  Or at least was a part of the process that the media and fans took note of.

Most Top-5′s Since 2002

I thought I’d take a gander at who, since 2002 (Johnson’s rookie year in NASCAR’s Cup division), has been in the top five spots at the end of the NASCAR Cup season.  I was surprised to see the following numbers roll off the stats:

Top-5′s

  • Jimmie Johnson – 9
  • Jeff Gordon – 5
  • Kevin Harvick – 4
  • Mark Martin – 4
  • Matt Kenseth – 4
  • Carl Edwards – 3
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. – 3
  • Denny Hamlin – 3
  • Kurt Busch – 3
  • Clint Bowyer – 2
  • Greg Biffle – 2
  • Tony Stewart – 2
  • Kyle Busch – 1

Nobody else can come even close to Jimmy’s level of consistency with being in the top-five every year for the last 9 years.  Or, every year of his career.

Even The Greats Took Breaks

When people look at two other names in the sport who have had more championships, Richard Petty & Dale Earnhardt, who both have 7 titles to their names, they did this across a number of years.  Petty:  64, 67, 71, 72, 74, 75 & 79.  Earnhardt Sr: 80, 86, 87, 90, 91, 93 & 94.  Each man, achieving something that stands alone.  Below are the multi-title holding driverss:

Driver No.
Dale Earnhardt 7
Richard Petty 7
Jimmie Johnson 5
Jeff Gordon 4
David Pearson 3
Lee Petty 3
Darrell Waltrip 3
Cale Yarborough 3
Buck Baker 2
Tim Flock 2
Ned Jarrett 2
Terry Labonte 2
Tony Stewart 2
Herb Thomas 2
Joe Weatherly 2

Compared to Lance Armstrong?

No 48 Jimmie Johnson NASCAR Cup Car gunning for the competition in Transformers 3

From day one, Jimmie has been gunning for the competition.

So if you find yourself having a rage-on with Jimmie Johnson for being one of the most successful drivers in the last 9 years, then so be it.  But while you’re busy focusing on the down-side of things, take a moment and ponder that you are watching a team like no other in the modern era of NASCAR.  Since Chad Knaus & Jimmie Johnson came together it’s been nothing but a piece of NASCAR history in the making.  Until I wrote this, I didn’t realize just how strong Jimmie Johnson has been from day one in his Cup career.

At first I thought five in a row was huge, but I didn’t realize he’s never been outside the top 5 in his 9-year Cup Series career.  For me, it appears that Jimmie Johnson’s run is to NASCAR as Lance Armstrong’s run is to bicycling!

Without meaning any disrespect, if you can’t wrap your mind around that, then I’m not sure what category of fan you place yourself in because there’s always something good about every scenario, no matter what.  I know.  My main guy is Ryan Newman.

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Charts for the Eye:

Top-5 Ranked Drivers in 9 Years (*Denotes rookie year)

RANK DRIVER
2010 1 Jimmie Johnson
2009 1 Jimmie Johnson
2008 1 Jimmie Johnson
2007 1 Jimmie Johnson
2006 1 Jimmie Johnson
2005 5 Jimmie Johnson
2004 2 Jimmie Johnson
2003 2 Jimmie Johnson
2002 5 Jimmie Johnson*
2009 3 Jeff Gordon
2007 2 Jeff Gordon
2004 3 Jeff Gordon
2003 4 Jeff Gordon
2002 4 Jeff Gordon
2010 3 Kevin Harvick
2008 4 Kevin Harvick
2006 4 Kevin Harvick
2003 5 Kevin Harvick
2009 2 Mark Martin
2005 4 Mark Martin
2004 4 Mark Martin
2002 2 Mark Martin
2010 5 Matt Kenseth
2007 4 Matt Kenseth
2006 2 Matt Kenseth
2003 1 Matt Kenseth
2010 4 Carl Edwards
2008 2 Carl Edwards
2005 3 Carl Edwards
2006 5 Dale Earnhardt Jr.
2004 5 Dale Earnhardt Jr.
2003 3 Dale Earnhardt Jr.
2010 2 Denny Hamlin
2009 5 Denny Hamlin
2006 3 Denny Hamlin*
2009 4 Kurt Busch
2004 1 Kurt Busch
2002 3 Kurt Busch
2008 5 Clint Bowyer
2007 3 Clint Bowyer
2008 3 Greg Biffle
2005 2 Greg Biffle
2005 1 Tony Stewart
2002 1 Tony Stewart
2007 5 Kyle Busch

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Year RANK DRIVER Points Bhnd STARTS POLES Wins t-5 t-10
2010 1 J Johnson 6622 Leader 36 2 6 17 23
2010 2 D Hamlin 6583 -39 36 2 8 14 18
2010 3 K Harvick 6581 -41 36 0 3 16 26
2010 4 C Edwards 6393 -229 36 3 2 9 19
2010 5 M Kenseth 6294 -328 36 0 0 6 15
Wins t-5 t-10
2009 1 J Johnson 6652 Leader 36 4 7 16 24
2009 2 M Martin 6511 -141 36 7 5 14 21
2009 3 J Gordon 6473 -179 36 1 1 16 25
2009 4 Ku Busch 6446 -206 36 0 2 10 21
2009 5 D Hamlin 6335 -317 36 1 4 15 20
Wins t-5 t-10
2008 1 J Johnson 6684 Leader 36 6 7 15 22
2008 2 C Edwards 6615 -69 36 1 9 19 27
2008 3 G Biffle 6467 -217 36 2 2 12 17
2008 4 K Harvick 6408 -276 36 0 0 7 19
2008 5 C Bowyer 6381 -303 36 0 1 7 17
Wins t-5 t-10
2007 1 J Johnson 6723 Leader 36 4 10 20 24
2007 2 J Gordon 6646 -77 36 7 6 21 30
2007 3 C Bowyer 6377 -346 36 2 1 5 17
2007 4 M Kenseth 6298 -425 36 0 2 13 22
2007 5 Ky Busch 6293 -430 36 0 1 11 20
Wins t-5 t-10
2006 1 J Johnson 6475 Leader 36 1 5 13 24
2006 2 M Kenseth 6419 -56 36 0 4 15 21
2006 3 D Hamlin* 6407 -68 36 3 2 8 20
2006 4 K Harvick 6397 -78 36 1 5 15 20
2006 5 D Earnhardt Jr. 6328 -147 36 0 1 10 17
Wins t-5 t-10
2005 1 T Stewart 6533 Leader 36 3 5 17 25
2005 2 G Biffle 6498 -35 36 0 6 15 21
2005 3 C Edwards 6498 -35 36 2 4 13 18
2005 4 M Martin 6428 -105 36 0 1 12 19
2005 5 J Johnson 6406 -127 36 1 4 13 22
Wins t-5 t-10
2004 1 Ku Busch 6506 Leader 36 1 3 10 21
2004 2 J Johnson 6498 -8 36 1 8 20 23
2004 3 J Gordon 6490 -16 36 6 5 16 25
2004 4 M Martin 6399 -107 36 0 1 10 15
2004 5 D Earnhardt Jr. 6368 -138 36 0 6 16 21
Wins t-5 t-10
2003 1 M Kenseth 5022 Leader 36 0 1 11 25
2003 2 J Johnson 4932 -90 36 2 3 14 20
2003 3 D Earnhardt Jr. 4815 -207 36 0 2 13 21
2003 4 J Gordon 4785 -237 36 4 3 15 20
2003 5 K Harvick 4770 -252 36 1 1 11 18
Wins t-5 t-10
2002 1 T Stewart 4800 Leader 36 2 3 15 21
2002 2 M Martin 4762 -38 36 0 1 12 22
2002 3 Ku Busch 4641 -159 36 1 4 12 20
2002 4 J Gordon 4607 -193 36 3 3 13 20
2002 5 J Johnson 4600 -200 36 4 3 6 21

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Jimmie Is Not The First To Do This:

Just to be fair, I thought I’d toss out that Jimmie Johnson does not sit alone in this category of 5 consecutive championships.  He just became the newest member in the club where he’s joined the Montreal Canadians who won 5 in a row in the NHL (1956-60), or another driver, Sebastien Loeb in World Rally Championship has won 5 in a row (2004-08) in his racing league.  The huge winning streak that I don’t think anyone will ever touch is that of Jahangir Khan in the sport of squash, where between 1981 and 1986, he won 555 consecutive matches.  Wow.  Wikipedia has a great page on Winning Streaks in Sports, if you’re curious.

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I've been writing newsletters since 1999. Of late, I've been focusing on the entertainment consumer angle on mostly the sci-fi, fantasy and action genres of TV, movies and books.

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{ 1 comment… read it below or add one }

B Tucker December 11, 2010 at 8:18 pm

Most of those who don’t like Johnson are just sore losers because their driver didn’t win. He reminds me a lot of Dale Earnheart; every race he starts belongs to him and the other drivers have to take it away from him. Things will eventually come around and eveyone will recognize him for what he is and what he will be. One of the great ones in Nascar.
So just suck it up, he has a long way to go and is probably the only one who will ever equal 7 championships.

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